Friday, November 11, 2022

Bear Market Volatility

11th Nov 22.  My portfolio was down 2% last night.  But because I'm only half invested, it felt like 4%.

My shorts got killed, with energy only up a bit.

This rally might last a few weeks - more shorts need to be killed.  A bear market rally of 20% is common, and 30% is historically possible.  Right now, the S&P 500 has only rallied 13.3%.  And last nights 5% Nasdaq one day rally is a small one.

I plan to keep short, as I don't think the market can be predicted a few weeks out.  And I think we are still in a bear market.  May add small short positions if the S&P rises to 15%, 20%, 25% and 30%.

No comments: