Tuesday, October 1, 2024

Some Commodities Links

Interesting supply/demand projections:
  • Uranium (Sept 2024).  Justin Huhn shows an updated Uranium supply model (at 16:08).  From Cantor, he thinks demand is a little optimistic.  Does not know if they include SMRs.  Probably derived from WNA's report, this looks like their upper demand scenario.  Theres a supply response from new greenfield mines in 2029.  Justin's own modelling shows a point in time when supply meets demand, but only for 2 years.
  • Anas Alhajii's views on LNG (Aug 2024): Contrary to the market, he is bullish, thinks producers will reign-in production (eg: rolling maintenance) if prices drop.